TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088646
Played Sep 7Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211611711––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 48 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 70.4%
48 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 6–14 Andrey Troyan Serhii Solomko has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Troyan
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1511 vs Troyan 1605
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 40% vs Troyan 100%
Troyan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 50% vs Troyan 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -1 · Troyan +5
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Troyan) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 3.00 / Troyan 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Troyan)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088646
Solomko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 135 of 280
Down 0–1, comes back26% 39 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Troyan1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 177 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it93% 94 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it78% 133 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko5wins
AwayTroyan5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko75%3 of 4
AwayTroyan66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S2Solomko5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S3Solomko4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S4Solomko3Troyan5n = 8Troyan took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoTroyanS − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.737.3−3.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime525 / 1027 vs 462 / 97751.1%47.3%525 / 1027 vs 462 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanSolomko 3.00/Troyan 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 06:35S. Solomko—811681A. Troyan—11711113
LJul 22 · 05:35S. Solomko—7580A. Troyan—1111113
WJul 17 · 07:05S. Solomko—811114113A. Troyan—11881192
WJul 6 · 12:05S. Solomko—12113113A. Troyan—1091161
WJul 4 · 12:50S. Solomko—12511113A. Troyan—1011951
LJul 1 · 11:00S. Solomko—441181A. Troyan—11116113
LJun 27 · 14:00S. Solomko—119661A. Troyan—51111113
LJun 24 · 11:30S. Solomko—7590A. Troyan—1111113
WJun 21 · 07:50S. Solomko—71111113A. Troyan—114541
WJun 16 · 10:40S. Solomko—111163123A. Troyan—971111102
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870
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