TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089055
Played Sep 7Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118118119––
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 21–13 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-13 in 34
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1542 vs Solomko 1523
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 40% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 50% vs Solomko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +1 · Solomko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnykov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.73 / Solomko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089055
Kolesnykov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 102 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it73% 66 of 90
Solomko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 135 of 280
Down 0–1, comes back26% 39 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov6wins
AwaySolomko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov100%5 of 5
AwaySolomko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolesnykov5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolesnykov4Solomko0n = 4Kolesnykov took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovSolomkoK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.933.0+1.9per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 669 vs 525 / 102653.2%51.2%356 / 669 vs 525 / 1026Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.73/Solomko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov—118611113S. Solomko—61111892
LAug 27 · 12:05V. Kolesnykov—711121192S. Solomko—118149113
LAug 24 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov—4770S. Solomko—1111113
WJul 23 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov—1112113S. Solomko—81090
LJul 21 · 12:10V. Kolesnykov—9980S. Solomko—1111113
WJul 17 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov—1112113S. Solomko—31040
LJul 14 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov—91270S. Solomko—1114113
WJul 10 · 11:20V. Kolesnykov—1111113S. Solomko—9750
WJul 6 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov—81111113S. Solomko—117981
WJul 3 · 17:00V. Kolesnykov—11511113S. Solomko—711571
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281
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