TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088824
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191189111412––
Valerii Kolesnykov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Valerii Kolesnykov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 85 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 66.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 3–4 Valerii Kolesnykov Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolesnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1534 vs Kolesnykov 1554
Kolesnykov
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 20% vs Kolesnykov 60%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 50% vs Kolesnykov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -3 · Kolesnykov +2
Osadchyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kolesnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.50 / Kolesnykov 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088824
Osadchyi2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 110 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Kolesnykov1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 102 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it73% 66 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeOsadchyi3wins
AwayKolesnykov4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayKolesnykov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi3Kolesnykov4n = 7Kolesnykov took 4 of 7
S2Osadchyi3Kolesnykov4n = 7Kolesnykov took 4 of 7
S3Osadchyi4Kolesnykov3n = 7Osadchyi took 4 of 7
S4Osadchyi3Kolesnykov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricOsadchyiKolesnykovO − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.037.7−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiKolesnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 859 vs 357 / 67050.9%53.3%437 / 859 vs 357 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovOsadchyi 2.50/Kolesnykov 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 24 · 10:30O. Osadchyi—9711111V. Kolesnykov—11115133
WJul 21 · 16:40O. Osadchyi—1111163V. Kolesnykov—72140
WJul 3 · 16:00O. Osadchyi—751111113V. Kolesnykov—11114392
WJun 30 · 09:35O. Osadchyi—11128113V. Kolesnykov—6101171
LApr 13 · 10:30O. Osadchyi—811671V. Kolesnykov—11611113
LJul 25 · 06:35O. Osadchyi—126321V. Kolesnykov—101111113
LJul 21 · 09:35O. Osadchyi—68111152V. Kolesnykov—111195113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.