TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094493
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119113––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 58 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 58.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 7–6 Oleh Volynets Oleh Volynets has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Obishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1633 vs Volynets 1438
Obishchenko
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 40% vs Volynets 20%
Obishchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 50% vs Volynets 30%
Obishchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +1 · Volynets -3
Volynets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Obishchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.50 / Volynets 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Obishchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094493
Obishchenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Volynets2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 23 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeObishchenko6wins
AwayVolynets4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderObishchenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeObishchenko75%3 of 4
AwayVolynets50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko4Volynets6n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S2Obishchenko6Volynets4n = 10Obishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Obishchenko4Volynets6n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S4Obishchenko4Volynets5n = 9Volynets took 5 of 9
S5Obishchenko4Volynets1n = 5Obishchenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricObishchenkoVolynetsO − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.239.8+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 136 vs 338 / 62351.5%54.3%70 / 136 vs 338 / 623Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoObishchenko 1.50/Volynets 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 31 · 05:05A. Obishchenko—7101111113O. Volynets—11126692
WMay 21 · 08:05A. Obishchenko—811811113O. Volynets—11811672
WJan 29 · 07:00A. Obishchenko—711117113O. Volynets—11881172
LJan 23 · 11:30A. Obishchenko—5940O. Volynets—1111113
LDec 21 · 10:35A. Obishchenko—991161O. Volynets—11118113
LOct 31 · 10:50A. Obishchenko—9115131O. Volynets—11711153
WOct 12 · 07:35A. Obishchenko—121135113O. Volynets—106111122
LOct 9 · 13:10A. Obishchenko—111197112O. Volynets—471111133
WOct 5 · 07:35A. Obishchenko—11119113O. Volynets—491191
WJun 28 · 10:05A. Obishchenko—11811123O. Volynets—4114101
A. Obishchenko10
WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.361411113R. Sopivnyk3.0012780WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113LAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.53671191V. Ishchuk2.3811117113
O. Volynets10
LSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960LSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881
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