TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094461
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111210117116––
Oleh Volynets
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 56.6%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 2–1 Oleh Volynets Oleh Volynets has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Osadchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1533 vs Volynets 1431
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 20% vs Volynets 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 40% vs Volynets 20%
Osadchyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -1 · Volynets -4
Volynets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Osadchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.67 / Volynets 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Osadchyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094461
Osadchyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 115 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it97% 63 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it87% 86 of 99
Volynets2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 23 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOsadchyi2wins
AwayVolynets1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi2Volynets1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
S2Osadchyi2Volynets1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
S3Osadchyi3Volynets0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOsadchyiVolynetsO − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 856 vs 338 / 62451.1%54.2%437 / 856 vs 338 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.67/Volynets 2.10
Hit
What we said
55.8%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi—1112113O. Volynets—61060
LAug 27 · 05:05O. Osadchyi—111111862O. Volynets—134711113
WAug 2 · 09:30O. Osadchyi—11911113O. Volynets—711671
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113WSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731
O. Volynets10
LSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930LSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960LSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.