TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094460
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115116––––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 35–38 Yaroslav Kovshun Oleh Volynets has won 35 of their 73 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kovshun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-38 in 73
Kovshun
Wrong
gap of 3 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1416 vs Kovshun 1554
Kovshun
Wrong
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 0% vs Kovshun 80%
Kovshun
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 20% vs Kovshun 40%
Kovshun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -5 · Kovshun +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kovshun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 2.10 / Kovshun 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kovshun)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094460
Volynets2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 23 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Kovshun1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 87 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 63 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets5wins
AwayKovshun5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets50%2 of 4
AwayKovshun50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets4Kovshun6n = 10Kovshun took 6 of 10
S2Volynets8Kovshun2n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S3Volynets6Kovshun4n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S4Volynets3Kovshun5n = 8Kovshun took 5 of 8
S5Volynets3Kovshun4n = 7Kovshun took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsKovshunV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.639.7+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 626 vs 340 / 63554%53.5%338 / 626 vs 340 / 635Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunVolynets 2.10/Kovshun 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volynets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 9 · 11:30O. Volynets—111166102Y. Kovshun—981111123
WJul 3 · 08:05O. Volynets—1111113Y. Kovshun—7690
LJun 30 · 13:40O. Volynets—661171Y. Kovshun—11119113
WJun 3 · 05:05O. Volynets—8121011113Y. Kovshun—111012772
LJun 1 · 05:05O. Volynets—95111132Y. Kovshun—111196113
LMay 31 · 09:05O. Volynets—11116732Y. Kovshun—641111113
WApr 22 · 07:35O. Volynets—911912113Y. Kovshun—115111052
WApr 21 · 07:00O. Volynets—1111113Y. Kovshun—9740
LApr 12 · 07:35O. Volynets—91111992Y. Kovshun—114511113
WFeb 19 · 08:05O. Volynets—711116113Y. Kovshun—11841162
O. Volynets10
LSep 8 · 12:05A. Troyan1.611111113O. Volynets2.208660LSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930LSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960LSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113WSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123WSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123WSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113
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