TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094526
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrey Troyan
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrey Troyan above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 57.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Andrey Troyan 88–56 Oleh Volynets Oleh Volynets has won 56 of their 144 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
88-56 in 144
Troyan
Correct
gap of 32 in 144, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Troyan 1564 vs Volynets 1435
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Troyan 20% vs Volynets 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Troyan 60% vs Volynets 20%
Troyan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Troyan -4 · Volynets +1
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Troyan) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTroyan 1.61 / Volynets 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Troyan)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094526
Troyan1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 181 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 136 of 173
Volynets2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 23 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTroyan6wins
AwayVolynets4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTroyan75%6 of 8
AwayVolynetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Troyan8Volynets2n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S2Troyan6Volynets4n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S3Troyan8Volynets2n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S4Troyan3Volynets4n = 7Volynets took 4 of 7
S5Troyan1Volynets4n = 5Volynets took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTroyanVolynetsT − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.337.8+3.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTroyanVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 982 vs 339 / 62747.2%54.1%463 / 982 vs 339 / 627Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanTroyan 1.61/Volynets 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.3%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan—1111143O. Volynets—46120
WSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan—1112123O. Volynets—910100
WAug 31 · 06:00A. Troyan—118113113O. Volynets—51171162
WAug 26 · 06:35A. Troyan—12117113O. Volynets—1051191
LAug 25 · 11:30A. Troyan—11712872O. Volynets—6111011113
LAug 19 · 10:08A. Troyan—84121162O. Volynets—1111103113
LAug 19 · 09:05A. Troyan—119111252O. Volynets—911814113
WAug 8 · 08:05A. Troyan—121210113O. Volynets—10101231
WAug 7 · 06:35A. Troyan—1111113O. Volynets—9580
LJul 7 · 12:10A. Troyan—611111252O. Volynets—117414113
A. Troyan10
LSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960LSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651LSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123LSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov2.2011911123A. Troyan1.619115101WSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113WSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272
O. Volynets10
WSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560LSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930LSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960LSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100
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