TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094524
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119116115––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 83.8% is still 83.8%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
83.8%
83.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 83.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 1–7 Andrey Troyan Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Troyan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Troyan
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1541 vs Troyan 1589
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +1 · Troyan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 5.00 / Troyan 1.14
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Troyan)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094524
Osadchyi5.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 111 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Troyan1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 181 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 136 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOsadchyi1wins
AwayTroyan7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayTroyan100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi3Troyan5n = 8Troyan took 5 of 8
S2Osadchyi1Troyan7n = 8Troyan took 7 of 8
S3Osadchyi1Troyan7n = 8Troyan took 7 of 8
S4Osadchyi2Troyan2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricOsadchyiTroyanO − TBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match26.937.6−10.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 856 vs 463 / 98051.2%47.2%438 / 856 vs 463 / 980Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanOsadchyi 5.00/Troyan 1.14
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.8%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi—4690A. Troyan—1111113
LAug 11 · 07:00O. Osadchyi—5511101A. Troyan—11112123
LAug 4 · 11:05O. Osadchyi—8490A. Troyan—1111113
LJul 22 · 09:05O. Osadchyi—5940A. Troyan—1111113
LJul 4 · 11:20O. Osadchyi—3350A. Troyan—1111113
LJul 1 · 04:30O. Osadchyi—1110481A. Troyan—81211113
LJun 27 · 17:30O. Osadchyi—11611192A. Troyan—811119113
WJun 21 · 12:50O. Osadchyi—13118123A. Troyan—11911101
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113WSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571
A. Troyan10
LSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123LSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov2.2011911123A. Troyan1.619115101WSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113WSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870
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