TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094476
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4119111171210115
Dmytro Khairov
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 4–2 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khairov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Osadchyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1555 vs Khairov 1568
Khairov
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Khairov 80%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 40% vs Khairov 70%
Khairov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +2 · Khairov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.00 / Khairov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khairov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094476
Osadchyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 111 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Khairov1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 42 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOsadchyi4wins
AwayKhairov2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKhairov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi2Khairov4n = 6Khairov took 4 of 6
S2Osadchyi4Khairov2n = 6Osadchyi took 4 of 6
S3Osadchyi4Khairov2n = 6Osadchyi took 4 of 6
S4Osadchyi2Khairov1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
S5Osadchyi2Khairov1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricOsadchyiKhairovO − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.336.0+0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 855 vs 199 / 42151.4%47.3%439 / 855 vs 199 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovOsadchyi 2.00/Khairov 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi—61481182D. Khairov—1112116113
LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi—7410D. Khairov—1111113
WAug 30 · 11:50O. Osadchyi—741111113D. Khairov—11116862
WAug 24 · 05:00O. Osadchyi—1311133D. Khairov—117110
WAug 15 · 15:00O. Osadchyi—1111113D. Khairov—9990
WJul 29 · 12:05O. Osadchyi—711115113D. Khairov—11341152
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651WSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113WSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113
D. Khairov10
WSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov2.2011911123A. Troyan1.619115101WSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960WSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Osadchyi
Nothing scheduled
D. Khairov
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