TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13093983
Played Sep 8Finished
Orest Hura
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111715711114811
Nazar Kovalchuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:04 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeNazar Kovalchuk to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOrest Hura above · Nazar Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Nazar Kovalchuk at 55.8%
100 points played in total.
H2H Orest Hura 12–13 Nazar Kovalchuk Orest Hura has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kovalchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hura 1632 vs Kovalchuk 1611
Hura
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hura 40% vs Kovalchuk 60%
Kovalchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hura 50% vs Kovalchuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hura -1 · Kovalchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kovalchuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHura 2.10 / Kovalchuk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kovalchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13093983
Hura2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 40 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Kovalchuk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 166 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it72% 114 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHura3wins
AwayKovalchuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHura60%3 of 5
AwayKovalchuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hura5Kovalchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Hura6Kovalchuk4n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S3Hura2Kovalchuk8n = 10Kovalchuk took 8 of 10
S4Hura3Kovalchuk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuraKovalchukH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.837.2−3.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuraKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 781 vs 365 / 71453.3%51.1%416 / 781 vs 365 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukHura 2.10/Kovalchuk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 23:15O. Hura—8960N. Kovalchuk—1111113
WAug 6 · 20:15O. Hura—11129113N. Kovalchuk—5101151
LAug 1 · 15:35O. Hura—101171182N. Kovalchuk—127119113
LJul 31 · 22:30O. Hura—10143101N. Kovalchuk—121211123
LJul 26 · 08:05O. Hura—7950N. Kovalchuk—1111113
LJul 25 · 13:05O. Hura—611541N. Kovalchuk—11711113
WJul 25 · 01:00O. Hura—1111113N. Kovalchuk—7790
LJul 5 · 09:05O. Hura—121051192N. Kovalchuk—1012118113
WJul 4 · 24:00O. Hura—1111113N. Kovalchuk—5880
LJun 30 · 02:45O. Hura—114761N. Kovalchuk—91111113
O. Hura10
LSep 8 · 11:25S. Rak1.301112113O. Hura3.4081060LSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 12:35O. Hura1.731011119133M. Smyrnov2.00128811112LSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101
N. Kovalchuk10
WSep 8 · 10:55D. Pesternikov1.337380N. Kovalchuk3.251111113WSep 8 · 08:25I. Kozachuk1.8011811682N. Kovalchuk1.91311611113LSep 8 · 06:25S. Rak1.331111113N. Kovalchuk3.255870WSep 8 · 04:25I. Romaniak1.83811121382N. Kovalchuk1.831171411113WSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:35N. Kovalchuk1.617121191S. Kalenyk2.2011149113LSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:05N. Kovalchuk1.3611411113O. Mitla3.00611451WSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.