TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067349
Played Sep 3Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113711411511––
Roman Hryhoriev
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Hryhoriev to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Roman Hryhoriev below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 63 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Roman Hryhoriev at 55.8%
63 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 0–1 Roman Hryhoriev Roman Sveshnykov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:28What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hryhoriev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1237 vs Hryhoriev 1357
Hryhoriev
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 40% vs Hryhoriev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 50% vs Hryhoriev 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -1 · Hryhoriev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hryhoriev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhoriev form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 2.10 / Hryhoriev 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hryhoriev)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067349
Sveshnykov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Hryhoriev1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 18 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSveshnykov0wins
AwayHryhoriev1wins
Hryhoriev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSveshnykovHryhorievS − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match27.036.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovHryhorievBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 263 vs 125 / 26038.8%48.1%102 / 263 vs 125 / 260Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorievSveshnykov 2.10/Hryhoriev 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Hryhoriev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov—117451R. Hryhoriev—31111113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
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