TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055391
Played Sep 1Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115118––––
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–1Last 2Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 57.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 1–0 Nikita Priadko Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:47What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Hryhoriev 40% vs Priadko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhoriev 30% vs Priadko 50%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhoriev -2 · Priadko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (50%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 2.38 / Priadko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Priadko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055391
Hryhoriev2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 9 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Priadko1.53
50%won 1 of 2 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 1 of 2
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHryhoriev1wins
AwayPriadko0wins
Hryhoriev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHryhorievPriadkoH − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 258 vs 6 / 1047.7%60%123 / 258 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoHryhoriev 2.38/Priadko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev—1111113N. Priadko—5580
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091LSep 2 · 08:30S. Sideltsev1.911111113N. Priadko1.803830
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