TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067696
Played Sep 3Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412811511511––
Roman Hryhoriev
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Hryhoriev to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Roman Hryhoriev below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 77 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Roman Hryhoriev at 57.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 0–1 Roman Hryhoriev Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hryhoriev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1263 vs Hryhoriev 1339
Hryhoriev
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Hryhoriev 40%
Hryhoriev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 30% vs Hryhoriev 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -4 · Hryhoriev -1
Priadko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hryhoriev) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhoriev form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.91 / Hryhoriev 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hryhoriev)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067696
Priadko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hryhoriev1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 18 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePriadko0wins
AwayHryhoriev1wins
Hryhoriev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPriadkoHryhorievP − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoHryhorievBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 123 / 25830%47.7%3 / 10 vs 123 / 258Avg sets wonper match1.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorievPriadko 1.91/Hryhoriev 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hryhoriev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 1 · 14:30N. Priadko—5580R. Hryhoriev—1111113
N. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091LSep 2 · 08:30S. Sideltsev1.911111113N. Priadko1.803830LSep 2 · 07:30N. Priadko1.537119121M. Pohorilyi2.3811211143
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
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