TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067682
Played Sep 3Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131191311119––
Roman Hryhoriev
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Hryhoriev to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Roman Hryhoriev below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 88 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Roman Hryhoriev at 59.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 1–7 Roman Hryhoriev Sergii Sideltsev has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hryhoriev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Hryhoriev
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1549 vs Hryhoriev 1363
Sideltsev
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 80% vs Hryhoriev 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 70% vs Hryhoriev 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev +2 · Hryhoriev +3
Hryhoriev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hryhoriev) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhoriev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 1.83 / Hryhoriev 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hryhoriev)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067682
Sideltsev1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Hryhoriev1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSideltsev1wins
AwayHryhoriev7wins
2 of 8 to a deciderHryhoriev leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsevn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHryhoriev85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev1Hryhoriev7n = 8Hryhoriev took 7 of 8
S2Sideltsev2Hryhoriev6n = 8Hryhoriev took 6 of 8
S3Sideltsev2Hryhoriev6n = 8Hryhoriev took 6 of 8
S4Sideltsev3Hryhoriev1n = 4Sideltsev took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricSideltsevHryhorievS − HBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match32.240.4−8.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevHryhorievBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 406 vs 126 / 26158.9%48.3%239 / 406 vs 126 / 261Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorievSideltsev 1.83/Hryhoriev 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hryhoriev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LFeb 5 · 16:00S. Sideltsev—7640R. Hryhoriev—1111113
LNov 3 · 14:00S. Sideltsev—85121152R. Hryhoriev—1111108113
LOct 5 · 12:00S. Sideltsev—101141972R. Hryhoriev—129111793
WSep 5 · 12:00S. Sideltsev—81112113R. Hryhoriev—1181061
LSep 2 · 12:00S. Sideltsev—8580R. Hryhoriev—1111113
LSep 1 · 17:40S. Sideltsev—91080R. Hryhoriev—1112113
LSep 1 · 14:00S. Sideltsev—11260R. Hryhoriev—1311113
LAug 27 · 15:00S. Sideltsev—1199111R. Hryhoriev—91111133
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev1.911211116123I. Dubinin1.80148811102WAug 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.4491113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.631171151
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