TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079162
Played Sep 5Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911411––––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 57 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 59.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 3–10 Oleh Torianyk Sergii Sideltsev has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1534 vs Torianyk 1622
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 80% vs Torianyk 40%
Sideltsev
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 80% vs Torianyk 50%
Sideltsev
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev +2 · Torianyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 2.20 / Torianyk 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Torianyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13079162
Sideltsev2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 31 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Torianyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 107 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it85% 80 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSideltsev3wins
AwayTorianyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsev66.7%2 of 3
AwayTorianyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev3Torianyk7n = 10Torianyk took 7 of 10
S2Sideltsev3Torianyk7n = 10Torianyk took 7 of 10
S3Sideltsev5Torianyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Sideltsev4Torianyk3n = 7Sideltsev took 4 of 7
S5Sideltsev1Torianyk2n = 3Torianyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSideltsevTorianykS − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.338.6−4.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 412 vs 284 / 51459%55.3%243 / 412 vs 284 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykSideltsev 2.20/Torianyk 1.61
Hit
What we said
59.3%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev—10940O. Torianyk—1211113
WAug 28 · 10:38S. Sideltsev—1161111113O. Torianyk—91113132
WAug 28 · 08:30S. Sideltsev—121311113O. Torianyk—1411831
LAug 1 · 06:00S. Sideltsev—115101122O. Torianyk—811126113
LJul 11 · 08:30S. Sideltsev—1161161O. Torianyk—13119113
LJul 9 · 09:30S. Sideltsev—511771O. Torianyk—11911113
LJul 9 · 06:00S. Sideltsev—531181O. Torianyk—11118113
WJun 10 · 09:00S. Sideltsev—1112113O. Torianyk—91040
LApr 17 · 09:00S. Sideltsev—8370O. Torianyk—1111113
LFeb 5 · 14:30S. Sideltsev—89111122O. Torianyk—111196113
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990WSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113WSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172LAug 28 · 10:38O. Torianyk1.7391113132S. Sideltsev2.001161111113
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