TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072967
Played Sep 4Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117115116––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 68.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 22–33 Oleh Torianyk Mykola Pohorilyi has won 22 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Torianyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-33 in 55
Torianyk
Wrong
gap of 11 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1432 vs Torianyk 1628
Torianyk
Wrong
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 60% vs Torianyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 70% vs Torianyk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi -1 · Torianyk +3
Torianyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Torianyk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 3.00 / Torianyk 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Torianyk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072967
Pohorilyi3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 22 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back5% 3 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Torianyk1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 103 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it97% 60 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it86% 78 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi2wins
AwayTorianyk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi33.3%2 of 6
AwayTorianyk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi6Torianyk4n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S2Pohorilyi2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S3Pohorilyi2Torianyk8n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Pohorilyi5Torianyk3n = 8Pohorilyi took 5 of 8
S5Pohorilyi0Torianyk3n = 3Torianyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiTorianykP − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.940.9−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 608 vs 281 / 50856.7%55.3%345 / 608 vs 281 / 508Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykPohorilyi 3.00/Torianyk 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.4%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi—11941252O. Torianyk—9111110113
LAug 27 · 09:00M. Pohorilyi—911881O. Torianyk—11911113
WAug 26 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi—12511113O. Torianyk—1011981
LAug 21 · 07:00M. Pohorilyi—119821O. Torianyk—91111113
LAug 20 · 12:30M. Pohorilyi—3780O. Torianyk—1111113
WJul 9 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi—11511133O. Torianyk—6119111
LJul 9 · 07:00M. Pohorilyi—61181162O. Torianyk—117119113
LJul 8 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—9960O. Torianyk—1111113
LJun 21 · 10:02M. Pohorilyi—119691O. Torianyk—41111113
LJun 21 · 09:00M. Pohorilyi—11781172O. Torianyk—611117113
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091
O. Torianyk10
WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990WSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113WSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172LAug 28 · 10:38O. Torianyk1.7391113132S. Sideltsev2.001161111113
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