TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073110
Played Sep 4Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811511511––
Dmytro Tsys
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeDmytro Tsys to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Dmytro Tsys below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Tsys at 79.4%
68 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 0–8 Dmytro Tsys Mykola Pohorilyi has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Tsys
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Tsys
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1439 vs Tsys 1613
Tsys
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 80% vs Tsys 60%
Pohorilyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 70% vs Tsys 40%
Pohorilyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi +2 · Tsys -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Tsys)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsys form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 3.75 / Tsys 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Tsys)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073110
Pohorilyi3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 22 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back5% 3 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 42
Tsys1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePohorilyi0wins
AwayTsys8wins
1 of 8 to a deciderTsys leads 8–0, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTsys100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi1Tsys7n = 8Tsys took 7 of 8
S2Pohorilyi0Tsys8n = 8Tsys took 8 of 8
S3Pohorilyi1Tsys7n = 8Tsys took 7 of 8
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away675%
These 8 meetings
MetricPohorilyiTsysP − TBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match24.136.1−12.0per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiTsysBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 607 vs 118 / 23556.8%50.2%345 / 607 vs 118 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsysPohorilyi 3.75/Tsys 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Tsys · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tsys won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 21 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi—136631D. Tsys—111111113
LAug 20 · 16:00M. Pohorilyi—9980D. Tsys—1111113
LJun 4 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi—8690D. Tsys—1111113
LJun 3 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi—9590D. Tsys—1111113
LNov 23 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi—89111122D. Tsys—111179113
LNov 22 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—11630D. Tsys—131173
LNov 16 · 07:00M. Pohorilyi—1790D. Tsys—1111113
LNov 15 · 17:30M. Pohorilyi—1590D. Tsys—1111113
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091
D. Tsys10
WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470WSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172WAug 22 · 10:09D. Tsys2.0081113113O. Torianyk1.731191191
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