TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079055
Played Sep 5Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311116––––
Sergii Sideltsev
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeMykola Pohorilyi to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 61 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Mykola Pohorilyi at 56.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 25–12 Sergii Sideltsev Sergii Sideltsev has won 12 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:59What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pohorilyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-12 in 37
Pohorilyi
Correct
gap of 13 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1451 vs Sideltsev 1568
Sideltsev
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 60% vs Sideltsev 80%
Sideltsev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 60% vs Sideltsev 80%
Sideltsev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi -1 · Sideltsev +4
Sideltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pohorilyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sideltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 1.57 / Sideltsev 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pohorilyi)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13079055
Pohorilyi1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 124 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it87% 99 of 114
Sideltsev2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 31 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi7wins
AwaySideltsev3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi100%6 of 6
AwaySideltsev75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi6Sideltsev4n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S2Pohorilyi5Sideltsev5n = 10split evenly
S3Pohorilyi7Sideltsev3n = 10Pohorilyi took 7 of 10
S4Pohorilyi5Sideltsev2n = 7Pohorilyi took 5 of 7
S5Pohorilyi4Sideltsev3n = 7Pohorilyi took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiSideltsevP − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.739.6+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 611 vs 241 / 40856.8%59.1%347 / 611 vs 241 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiPohorilyi 1.57/Sideltsev 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:00M. Pohorilyi—119811113S. Sideltsev—31111662
LAug 28 · 06:00M. Pohorilyi—9111110102S. Sideltsev—119712123
WAug 6 · 17:34M. Pohorilyi—1111113S. Sideltsev—7770
WAug 6 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—1212113S. Sideltsev—101030
WAug 4 · 17:03M. Pohorilyi—271511113S. Sideltsev—111113372
WAug 4 · 12:30M. Pohorilyi—1151911113S. Sideltsev—51121972
LJul 29 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi—48131182S. Sideltsev—1111118113
LJul 23 · 09:00M. Pohorilyi—73111192S. Sideltsev—111167113
WJul 18 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—1111113S. Sideltsev—8650
WJul 14 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi—111195113S. Sideltsev—99111192
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 2 · 10:18M. Pohorilyi2.0011712113N. Priadko1.734111091
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113LSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113
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