TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067149
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171194118111311
Sergii Sideltsev
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Sideltsev to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Levytskyi above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 96 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Sergii Sideltsev at 81.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Levytskyi 5–9 Sergii Sideltsev Oleksandr Levytskyi has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Sideltsev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Sideltsev
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskyi 1227 vs Sideltsev 1540
Sideltsev
Wrong
both rated, 313 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskyi 100% vs Sideltsev 80%
Levytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskyi 80% vs Sideltsev 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskyi +5 · Sideltsev +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Sideltsev) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskyi 4.50 / Sideltsev 1.17
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Sideltsev)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067149
Levytskyi4.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog20% won 13 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Sideltsev1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it100% 68 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskyi2wins
AwaySideltsev8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSideltsev leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskyi40%2 of 5
AwaySideltsev100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskyi5Sideltsev5n = 10split evenly
S2Levytskyi3Sideltsev7n = 10Sideltsev took 7 of 10
S3Levytskyi3Sideltsev7n = 10Sideltsev took 7 of 10
S4Levytskyi1Sideltsev5n = 6Sideltsev took 5 of 6
S5Levytskyi1Sideltsev2n = 3Sideltsev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskyiSideltsevL − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.541.0−6.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskyiSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 303 vs 237 / 40443.2%58.7%131 / 303 vs 237 / 404Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SideltsevLevytskyi 4.50/Sideltsev 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.6%
Sideltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi—111148133S. Sideltsev—791111112
LJul 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi—11481182S. Sideltsev—511119113
LJun 2 · 14:00O. Levytskyi—1161041S. Sideltsev—31112113
LMay 24 · 15:30O. Levytskyi—128100S. Sideltsev—1411123
LMar 21 · 14:30O. Levytskyi—15670S. Sideltsev—1711113
LFeb 28 · 09:00O. Levytskyi—1641141S. Sideltsev—18118113
LFeb 24 · 15:00O. Levytskyi—81450S. Sideltsev—1116113
LFeb 8 · 09:00O. Levytskyi—11116652S. Sideltsev—891111113
WFeb 2 · 14:30O. Levytskyi—1111113S. Sideltsev—7890
LNov 29 · 10:30O. Levytskyi—7101151S. Sideltsev—11127113
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8367111162O. Levytskyi1.8311117693WAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113WAug 29 · 12:30A. Lysyi2.63991191O. Levytskyi1.4411118113LAug 27 · 17:29O. Levytskyi2.1016111281S. Honcharenko1.6718714113
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov4.0076121382S. Sideltsev1.2211111011113WSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113
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