TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037524
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101113119108––
Anton Danylov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Levytskyi above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-8
Point 84 set 4, 10-8 — our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Levytskyi 2–4 Anton Danylov Oleksandr Levytskyi has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Levytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Danylov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskyi 1175 vs Danylov 1082
Levytskyi
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskyi 80% vs Danylov 40%
Levytskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskyi 70% vs Danylov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskyi +3 · Danylov -1
Levytskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskyi 1.73 / Danylov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Levytskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13037524
Levytskyi1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 19 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Danylov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLevytskyi2wins
AwayDanylov4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderDanylov leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDanylov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskyi1Danylov5n = 6Danylov took 5 of 6
S2Levytskyi2Danylov4n = 6Danylov took 4 of 6
S3Levytskyi4Danylov2n = 6Levytskyi took 4 of 6
S4Levytskyi3Danylov2n = 5Levytskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLevytskyiDanylovL − DBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match36.841.0−4.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskyiDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 300 vs 35 / 11442.7%30.7%128 / 300 vs 35 / 114Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.533.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiLevytskyi 1.73/Danylov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 26 · 14:30O. Levytskyi—971291A. Danylov—111110113
WJul 19 · 13:30O. Levytskyi—11711113A. Danylov—511891
LJun 6 · 13:30O. Levytskyi—88161622A. Danylov—11111414113
WMar 29 · 17:30O. Levytskyi—91111113A. Danylov—118581
LMar 29 · 15:00O. Levytskyi—1113751A. Danylov—13111193
LFeb 15 · 14:00O. Levytskyi—4840A. Danylov—1111113
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8367111162O. Levytskyi1.8311117693WAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113WAug 29 · 12:30A. Lysyi2.63991191O. Levytskyi1.4411118113LAug 27 · 17:29O. Levytskyi2.1016111281S. Honcharenko1.6718714113
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113WAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113LAug 16 · 17:30A. Danylov3.752111061M. Zavoloka1.2511712113
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