TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12444581
Played Aug 16Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111171012611––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 75.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 1–2 Mykola Zavoloka Anton Danylov has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1086 vs Zavoloka 1261
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 60% vs Zavoloka 100%
Zavoloka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 60% vs Zavoloka 80%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov -1 · Zavoloka +5
Zavoloka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 3.75 / Zavoloka 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Zavoloka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12444581
Danylov3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 23 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Zavoloka1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 14 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDanylov1wins
AwayZavoloka2wins
Zavoloka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov2Zavoloka1n = 3Danylov took 2 of 3
S2Danylov1Zavoloka2n = 3Zavoloka took 2 of 3
S3Danylov2Zavoloka1n = 3Danylov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDanylovZavolokaD − ZBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.335.0−1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 110 vs 22 / 3330%66.7%33 / 110 vs 22 / 33Avg sets wonper match1.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match32.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaDanylov 3.75/Zavoloka 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 16 · 16:30A. Danylov—8911111M. Zavoloka—11119133
LJul 26 · 17:34A. Danylov—115651M. Zavoloka—81111113
WJul 26 · 13:00A. Danylov—1112113M. Zavoloka—51050
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113WAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133
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