TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481716
Played Aug 24Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11137111412611––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 85 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 58.5%
85 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 3–1 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Honcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Honcharenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1362 vs Zavoloka 1206
Honcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 60% vs Zavoloka 40%
Honcharenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 70% vs Zavoloka 30%
Honcharenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko -1 · Zavoloka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Honcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.73 / Zavoloka 2.00
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Honcharenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12481716
Honcharenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 83 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it83% 65 of 78
Zavoloka2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHoncharenko3wins
AwayZavoloka1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
S2Honcharenko3Zavoloka1n = 4Honcharenko took 3 of 4
S3Honcharenko2Zavoloka2n = 4split evenly
S4Honcharenko1Zavoloka2n = 3Zavoloka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaH − ZBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.840.8+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 800 vs 26 / 4449.9%59.1%399 / 800 vs 26 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.73/Zavoloka 2.00
Miss
What we said
60.7%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 23 · 13:00S. Honcharenko—9141110113M. Zavoloka—111261282
WJul 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—119711113M. Zavoloka—91111792
LJul 8 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—10118111M. Zavoloka—12711133
WJul 7 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1311113M. Zavoloka—11940
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691
M. Zavoloka10
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko2.7578110M. Zavoloka1.401111133LAug 23 · 16:58R. Sveshnykov1.4411128113M. Zavoloka2.636101181
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