TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13083751
Played Sep 5Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
2.07
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111181191012611
Serhii Honcharenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Serhii Honcharenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11
95 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 27–39 Serhii Honcharenko Ihor Sorochan has won 27 of their 66 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Honcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 2.07 / Honcharenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Honcharenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13083751
Sorochan2.07
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Honcharenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 97 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it85% 78 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan1wins
AwayHoncharenko9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan25%1 of 4
AwayHoncharenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan4Honcharenko6n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Sorochan1Honcharenko9n = 10Honcharenko took 9 of 10
S3Sorochan4Honcharenko6n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S4Sorochan4Honcharenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Sorochan1Honcharenko4n = 5Honcharenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanHoncharenkoS − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.844.8−7.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 437 vs 424 / 82656.3%51.3%246 / 437 vs 424 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoSorochan 2.07/Honcharenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:00I. Sorochan—58131192S. Honcharenko—1111118113
LAug 19 · 10:00I. Sorochan—4880S. Honcharenko—1111113
LAug 19 · 05:30I. Sorochan—10690S. Honcharenko—1211113
LAug 18 · 09:58I. Sorochan—7811101S. Honcharenko—11119123
LAug 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan—171071362S. Honcharenko—15121111113
LAug 10 · 16:58I. Sorochan—119461S. Honcharenko—71111113
LAug 10 · 13:30I. Sorochan—861151S. Honcharenko—11118113
WAug 2 · 06:28I. Sorochan—118811113S. Honcharenko—61111772
LJul 12 · 06:30I. Sorochan—91181482S. Honcharenko—1181112113
LJul 5 · 12:30I. Sorochan—11611562S. Honcharenko—811911113
I. Sorochan10
LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113LAug 30 · 16:30I. Sorochan1.83715111092I. Dubinin1.831113512113
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691LSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123
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