TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078867
Played Sep 5Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119811119––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 87.8% is still 87.8%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
87.8%
87.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 87.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 44–7 Vasyl Matviichuk Vasyl Matviichuk has won 7 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-7 in 51
Sorochan
Correct
gap of 37 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1362 vs Matviichuk 1056
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 306 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 40% vs Matviichuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 40% vs Matviichuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan -1 · Matviichuk -3
Matviichuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.13 / Matviichuk 5.50
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Sorochan)+4.8pp
Setka Cup · #13078867
Sorochan1.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 66 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Matviichuk5.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 33 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan10wins
AwayMatviichuk0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSorochan leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan100%9 of 9
AwayMatviichukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan9Matviichuk1n = 10Sorochan took 9 of 10
S2Sorochan10Matviichuk0n = 10Sorochan took 10 of 10
S3Sorochan8Matviichuk2n = 10Sorochan took 8 of 10
S4Sorochan2Matviichuk1n = 3Sorochan took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanMatviichukS − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.322.9+14.4per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 436 vs 290 / 61456.2%47.2%245 / 436 vs 290 / 614Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.13/Matviichuk 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.8%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 06:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Matviichuk—5650
WAug 12 · 05:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Matviichuk—6860
WJun 1 · 06:30I. Sorochan—91111113V. Matviichuk—111771
WApr 27 · 07:00I. Sorochan—1112113V. Matviichuk—11080
WFeb 8 · 08:30I. Sorochan—1111911113V. Matviichuk—57111372
WNov 28 · 09:00I. Sorochan—11119153V. Matviichuk—2511131
WNov 24 · 08:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Matviichuk—6870
WNov 17 · 11:26I. Sorochan—1111113V. Matviichuk—7730
WNov 17 · 09:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Matviichuk—6550
WNov 3 · 14:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Matviichuk—6770
I. Sorochan10
LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672LSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113LAug 30 · 16:30I. Sorochan1.83715111092I. Dubinin1.831113512113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871WSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
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