TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084050
Played Sep 6Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511511––––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 47 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 28–30 Vasyl Matviichuk Anatoliy Lysyi has won 28 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Matviichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-30 in 58
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1074 vs Matviichuk 1081
Matviichuk
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 40% vs Matviichuk 20%
Lysyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 30% vs Matviichuk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +1 · Matviichuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.83 / Matviichuk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Matviichuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084050
Lysyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Matviichuk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi4wins
AwayMatviichuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi40%2 of 5
AwayMatviichuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi5Matviichuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysyi3Matviichuk7n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S3Lysyi4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S4Lysyi6Matviichuk3n = 9Lysyi took 6 of 9
S5Lysyi1Matviichuk2n = 3Matviichuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiMatviichukL − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.840.7−3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 426 vs 294 / 62042.3%47.4%180 / 426 vs 294 / 620Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukLysyi 1.83/Matviichuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi—4550V. Matviichuk—1111113
WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi—19119113V. Matviichuk—1791171
LAug 31 · 08:30A. Lysyi—6171021V. Matviichuk—111512113
LAug 30 · 10:05A. Lysyi—1112451V. Matviichuk—71411113
WAug 30 · 05:30A. Lysyi—11711113V. Matviichuk—811481
LAug 24 · 10:11A. Lysyi—11831242V. Matviichuk—8111110113
WAug 24 · 05:30A. Lysyi—81111113V. Matviichuk—118581
LAug 10 · 10:30A. Lysyi—11771162V. Matviichuk—811113113
WAug 10 · 05:30A. Lysyi—961111113V. Matviichuk—11118382
LAug 3 · 06:30A. Lysyi—841151V. Matviichuk—11116113
A. Lysyi10
LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871LSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871WSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
Upcoming Matches
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V. Matviichuk
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