TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084470
Played Sep 6Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113711115711––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAnton Danylov to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Anton Danylov at 54.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 4–3 Vasyl Matviichuk Vasyl Matviichuk has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Danylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1058 vs Matviichuk 1081
Matviichuk
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 60% vs Matviichuk 0%
Danylov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 60% vs Matviichuk 20%
Danylov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov +1 · Matviichuk -5
Matviichuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Danylov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 1.73 / Matviichuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Danylov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084470
Danylov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Matviichuk2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 35 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDanylov4wins
AwayMatviichuk3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderDanylov leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanylov75%3 of 4
AwayMatviichuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov4Matviichuk3n = 7Danylov took 4 of 7
S2Danylov5Matviichuk2n = 7Danylov took 5 of 7
S3Danylov4Matviichuk3n = 7Danylov took 4 of 7
S4Danylov1Matviichuk3n = 4Matviichuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricDanylovMatviichukD − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.035.4+2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 121 vs 294 / 62031.4%47.4%38 / 121 vs 294 / 620Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanylovDanylov 1.73/Matviichuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Danylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov—1171171V. Matviichuk—13115113
WAug 2 · 13:00A. Danylov—1111133V. Matviichuk—98110
WJul 12 · 17:34A. Danylov—1111113V. Matviichuk—4890
WJul 12 · 13:30A. Danylov—111110113V. Matviichuk—941251
WJul 4 · 06:00A. Danylov—811116113V. Matviichuk—11971192
LJun 14 · 07:00A. Danylov—7970V. Matviichuk—1111113
LApr 17 · 16:30A. Danylov—111110892V. Matviichuk—781211113
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113WAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113LAug 16 · 17:30A. Danylov3.752111061M. Zavoloka1.2511712113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871WSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
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