TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037595
Played Aug 29Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111611119511––
Anton Danylov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 56.2%
65 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 5–3 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zherykhin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Zherykhin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1054 vs Danylov 1079
Danylov
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 60% vs Danylov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 50% vs Danylov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin +1 · Danylov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zherykhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danylov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 1.67 / Danylov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Zherykhin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037595
Zherykhin1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Danylov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZherykhin5wins
AwayDanylov3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderZherykhin leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhin100%4 of 4
AwayDanylov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin4Danylov4n = 8split evenly
S2Zherykhin4Danylov4n = 8split evenly
S3Zherykhin5Danylov3n = 8Zherykhin took 5 of 8
S4Zherykhin3Danylov0n = 3Zherykhin took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricZherykhinDanylovZ − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.434.5+1.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 53 vs 33 / 11134%29.7%18 / 53 vs 33 / 111Avg sets wonper match1.61.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.432.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinZherykhin 1.67/Danylov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Danylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 26 · 12:00S. Zherykhin—51060A. Danylov—1112113
WJul 19 · 16:30S. Zherykhin—1811113A. Danylov—16750
WJul 12 · 14:30S. Zherykhin—11612123A. Danylov—81110101
WJun 7 · 05:00S. Zherykhin—1111113A. Danylov—8780
WMay 23 · 05:00S. Zherykhin—871111133A. Danylov—111178112
LApr 19 · 04:59S. Zherykhin—71181162A. Danylov—115118113
LApr 12 · 16:30S. Zherykhin—8980A. Danylov—1111113
WApr 11 · 05:00S. Zherykhin—1413113A. Danylov—121120
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 16 · 17:30A. Danylov3.752111061M. Zavoloka1.2511712113
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