TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088978
Played Sep 7Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811114118––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 4–4 Stanislav Zherykhin Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:20What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1083 vs Zherykhin 995
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 40% vs Zherykhin 60%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 30% vs Zherykhin 50%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi -1 · Zherykhin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.73 / Zherykhin 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lysyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088978
Lysyi1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 60 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Zherykhin2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLysyi4wins
AwayZherykhin4wins
6 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi50%2 of 4
AwayZherykhin50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi4Zherykhin4n = 8split evenly
S2Lysyi6Zherykhin2n = 8Lysyi took 6 of 8
S3Lysyi4Zherykhin4n = 8split evenly
S4Lysyi4Zherykhin4n = 8split evenly
S5Lysyi2Zherykhin4n = 6Zherykhin took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricLysyiZherykhinL − ZBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match45.544.6+0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 427 vs 23 / 7342.4%31.5%181 / 427 vs 23 / 73Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.73/Zherykhin 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi—11811113S. Zherykhin—911481
WSep 6 · 06:30A. Lysyi—111115113S. Zherykhin—11991162
WAug 29 · 13:30A. Lysyi—911911113S. Zherykhin—11411452
LJun 7 · 06:30A. Lysyi—11119672S. Zherykhin—991111113
LMay 23 · 06:30A. Lysyi—111111672S. Zherykhin—881311113
WApr 19 · 07:28A. Lysyi—111210113S. Zherykhin—4101261
LApr 11 · 09:59A. Lysyi—71411682S. Zherykhin—1112711113
LApr 11 · 06:30A. Lysyi—851111182S. Zherykhin—111188203
A. Lysyi10
LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
Upcoming Matches
A. Lysyi
Nothing scheduled
S. Zherykhin
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