TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078927
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210115118––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 69.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 11–6 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Sveshnykov
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1279 vs Lysyi 1118
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Lysyi 20%
Sveshnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 40% vs Lysyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -1 · Lysyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Sveshnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.40 / Lysyi 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13078927
Sveshnykov1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite79% won 30 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Lysyi2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 33 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSveshnykov8wins
AwayLysyi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov100%6 of 6
AwayLysyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov6Lysyi4n = 10Sveshnykov took 6 of 10
S2Sveshnykov6Lysyi4n = 10Sveshnykov took 6 of 10
S3Sveshnykov8Lysyi2n = 10Sveshnykov took 8 of 10
S4Sveshnykov3Lysyi2n = 5Sveshnykov took 3 of 5
S5Sveshnykov3Lysyi1n = 4Sveshnykov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSveshnykovLysyiS − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.035.2+5.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 272 vs 178 / 42039.7%42.4%108 / 272 vs 178 / 420Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.40/Lysyi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 17:04R. Sveshnykov—119111063A. Lysyi—71161242
WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov—81211113A. Lysyi—1110581
LAug 30 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov—71270A. Lysyi—1114113
WAug 9 · 13:30R. Sveshnykov—1111113A. Lysyi—5880
WJul 26 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov—1111113A. Lysyi—8780
WApr 25 · 09:00R. Sveshnykov—1111113A. Lysyi—4530
LApr 18 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov—4111610112A. Lysyi—1191412133
WApr 11 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov—1716113A. Lysyi—151460
WFeb 19 · 10:58R. Sveshnykov—1113512113A. Lysyi—415111072
WFeb 19 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov—871111113A. Lysyi—11115992
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420WSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113
A. Lysyi10
LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871LSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Sveshnykov
Nothing scheduled
A. Lysyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.