TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084342
Played Sep 6Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1416119711811––
Roman Sveshnykov
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 87 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 6–2 Roman Sveshnykov Roman Sveshnykov has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Urezchenko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1063 vs Sveshnykov 1278
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 20% vs Sveshnykov 60%
Sveshnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 40% vs Sveshnykov 60%
Sveshnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko -3 · Sveshnykov -1
Urezchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 2.50 / Sveshnykov 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084342
Urezchenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 41 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back14% 13 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Sveshnykov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite81% won 34 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeUrezchenko6wins
AwaySveshnykov2wins
2 of 8 to a deciderUrezchenko leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenko100%4 of 4
AwaySveshnykov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko4Sveshnykov4n = 8split evenly
S2Urezchenko7Sveshnykov1n = 8Urezchenko took 7 of 8
S3Urezchenko4Sveshnykov4n = 8split evenly
S4Urezchenko3Sveshnykov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoSveshnykovU − SBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.135.9+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 470 vs 111 / 27744%40.1%207 / 470 vs 111 / 277Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovUrezchenko 2.50/Sveshnykov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko—1411781R. Sveshnykov—16911113
LAug 9 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko—871171R. Sveshnykov—11118113
WMar 29 · 14:30Y. Urezchenko—1611113R. Sveshnykov—14580
WMar 10 · 10:30Y. Urezchenko—911911113R. Sveshnykov—11811662
WMar 3 · 10:30Y. Urezchenko—11117113R. Sveshnykov—891191
WFeb 25 · 10:30Y. Urezchenko—51111113R. Sveshnykov—115671
WDec 17 · 10:30Y. Urezchenko—1111133R. Sveshnykov—89110
WDec 10 · 10:30Y. Urezchenko—111176113R. Sveshnykov—64111142
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191LSep 1 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko4.3367100Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111123WSep 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.615111111113S. Zherykhin2.2011761362
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420WSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113
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