TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088736
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
16141210111––––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:10 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeYurii Urezchenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 64 set 3, 11-1 — our read held Yurii Urezchenko at 57.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 3–1 Stanislav Zherykhin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Urezchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Urezchenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1075 vs Zherykhin 987
Urezchenko
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 0% vs Zherykhin 60%
Zherykhin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 30% vs Zherykhin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko -5 · Zherykhin -1
Urezchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Urezchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 1.61 / Zherykhin 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Urezchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088736
Urezchenko1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite69% won 58 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52
Zherykhin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeUrezchenko3wins
AwayZherykhin1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderUrezchenko leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayZherykhinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko3Zherykhin1n = 4Urezchenko took 3 of 4
S2Urezchenko3Zherykhin1n = 4Urezchenko took 3 of 4
S3Urezchenko3Zherykhin1n = 4Urezchenko took 3 of 4
S4Urezchenko1Zherykhin2n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoZherykhinU − ZBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.038.2+5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 471 vs 22 / 7144.2%31%208 / 471 vs 22 / 71Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrezchenkoUrezchenko 1.61/Zherykhin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Urezchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—1612113S. Zherykhin—141010
WSep 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—5111111113S. Zherykhin—11761362
LJul 12 · 17:03Y. Urezchenko—11118852S. Zherykhin—761111113
WJul 12 · 16:00Y. Urezchenko—121111113S. Zherykhin—1013881
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191LSep 1 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko4.3367100Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111123WSep 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.615111111113S. Zherykhin2.2011761362
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741LSep 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.615111111113S. Zherykhin2.2011761362
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