TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084318
Played Sep 6Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121156111012––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeAnton Danylov to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Anton Danylov at 57.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 4–5 Stanislav Zherykhin Anton Danylov has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Danylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1064 vs Zherykhin 979
Danylov
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 40% vs Zherykhin 60%
Zherykhin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 40% vs Zherykhin 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov +1 · Zherykhin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Danylov) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 1.67 / Zherykhin 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Danylov)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084318
Danylov1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zherykhin2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 11 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDanylov4wins
AwayZherykhin5wins
2 of 9 to a deciderZherykhin leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanylov80%4 of 5
AwayZherykhin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov5Zherykhin4n = 9Danylov took 5 of 9
S2Danylov5Zherykhin4n = 9Danylov took 5 of 9
S3Danylov3Zherykhin6n = 9Zherykhin took 6 of 9
S4Danylov1Zherykhin3n = 4Zherykhin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricDanylovZherykhinD − ZBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match35.334.9+0.4per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 119 vs 21 / 6831.1%30.9%37 / 119 vs 21 / 68Avg sets wonper match1.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.335.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanylovDanylov 1.67/Zherykhin 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Danylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 29 · 12:00A. Danylov—11119113S. Zherykhin—161151
WJul 26 · 12:00A. Danylov—1112113S. Zherykhin—51060
LJul 19 · 16:30A. Danylov—16750S. Zherykhin—1811113
LJul 12 · 14:30A. Danylov—81110101S. Zherykhin—11612123
LJun 7 · 05:00A. Danylov—8780S. Zherykhin—1111113
LMay 23 · 05:00A. Danylov—111178112S. Zherykhin—871111133
WApr 19 · 04:59A. Danylov—115118113S. Zherykhin—71181162
WApr 12 · 16:30A. Danylov—1111113S. Zherykhin—8980
LApr 11 · 05:00A. Danylov—121120S. Zherykhin—1413113
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113WAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113LAug 16 · 17:30A. Danylov3.752111061M. Zavoloka1.2511712113
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100WSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741LAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113
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