TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084296
Played Sep 6Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5118111210411––
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Hyriavyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 72 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Viktor Hyriavyi at 62.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 1–4 Viktor Hyriavyi Anton Danylov has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hyriavyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Hyriavyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1058 vs Hyriavyi 985
Danylov
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 40% vs Hyriavyi 20%
Danylov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 50% vs Hyriavyi 20%
Danylov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov -1 · Hyriavyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hyriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyriavyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 2.25 / Hyriavyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hyriavyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084296
Danylov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 28 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Hyriavyi1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 10 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDanylov1wins
AwayHyriavyi4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHyriavyi leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanylovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHyriavyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov2Hyriavyi3n = 5Hyriavyi took 3 of 5
S2Danylov0Hyriavyi5n = 5Hyriavyi took 5 of 5
S3Danylov3Hyriavyi2n = 5Danylov took 3 of 5
S4Danylov0Hyriavyi4n = 4Hyriavyi took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricDanylovHyriavyiD − HBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match32.239.6−7.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 121 vs 110 / 34831.4%31.6%38 / 121 vs 110 / 348Avg sets wonper match1.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.433.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyriavyiDanylov 2.25/Hyriavyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Hyriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 6 · 09:58A. Danylov—117114113V. Hyriavyi—31191192
LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov—581241V. Hyriavyi—111110113
LApr 17 · 15:30A. Danylov—8990V. Hyriavyi—1111113
LFeb 15 · 18:00A. Danylov—116981V. Hyriavyi—71111103
LFeb 15 · 15:30A. Danylov—871121V. Hyriavyi—11117113
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113WAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113LAug 16 · 17:30A. Danylov3.752111061M. Zavoloka1.2511712113
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871LSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660LSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.505750WSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2561111113V. Matviichuk1.33119841LAug 31 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi2.63116141Y. Urezchenko1.4481111113
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