TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066798
Played Sep 3Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116116––––
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 83.8% is still 83.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
83.8%
83.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 83.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 21–9 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-9 in 30
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1311 vs Hyriavyi 998
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 313 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Hyriavyi 20%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Hyriavyi 30%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +3 · Hyriavyi -2
Zvolynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.14 / Hyriavyi 5.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066798
Zvolynskyi1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 86 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Hyriavyi5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 27 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi8wins
AwayHyriavyi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi100%5 of 5
AwayHyriavyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi5Hyriavyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Zvolynskyi7Hyriavyi3n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi8Hyriavyi2n = 10Zvolynskyi took 8 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi3Hyriavyi1n = 4Zvolynskyi took 3 of 4
S5Zvolynskyi3Hyriavyi1n = 4Zvolynskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiHyriavyiZ − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.129.2+8.9per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 576 vs 111 / 35153%31.6%305 / 576 vs 111 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.433.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.14/Hyriavyi 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1211113V. Hyriavyi—10770
WJul 6 · 06:58Y. Zvolynskyi—9111110113V. Hyriavyi—11341252
WJun 23 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Hyriavyi—4330
WApr 13 · 10:29Y. Zvolynskyi—1116113V. Hyriavyi—31440
LApr 13 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—107111142V. Hyriavyi—121155113
WApr 1 · 06:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Hyriavyi—6440
WJan 6 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—831111153V. Hyriavyi—111193132
LJan 2 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—6650V. Hyriavyi—1111113
WDec 26 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Hyriavyi—8730
WNov 19 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi—911811113V. Hyriavyi—11911872
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741WSep 2 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.751111113M. Pohorilyi1.409880
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871LSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.505750WSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2561111113V. Matviichuk1.33119841LAug 31 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi2.63116141Y. Urezchenko1.4481111113
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