TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072914
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611611––––
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 58.4%
49 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 33–52 Yurii Zvolynskyi Serhii Honcharenko has won 33 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-52 in 85
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 19 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1341 vs Zvolynskyi 1316
Honcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 80% vs Zvolynskyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 80% vs Zvolynskyi 50%
Honcharenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +1 · Zvolynskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zvolynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.38 / Zvolynskyi 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13072914
Honcharenko2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 70 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back25% 24 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Zvolynskyi1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 90 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it88% 73 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko4wins
AwayZvolynskyi6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayZvolynskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko3Zvolynskyi7n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Honcharenko5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Honcharenko3Zvolynskyi7n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Honcharenko6Zvolynskyi2n = 8Honcharenko took 6 of 8
S5Honcharenko2Zvolynskyi3n = 5Zvolynskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZvolynskyiH − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.9−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 817 vs 307 / 57951.4%53%420 / 817 vs 307 / 579Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiHoncharenko 2.38/Zvolynskyi 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko—4121111113Y. Zvolynskyi—111071362
LSep 3 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—91181262Y. Zvolynskyi—1111110113
WSep 1 · 10:34S. Honcharenko—561111113Y. Zvolynskyi—11118992
LSep 1 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—49120Y. Zvolynskyi—1111143
LAug 27 · 16:30S. Honcharenko—61151162Y. Zvolynskyi—119115113
WAug 25 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—11117123Y. Zvolynskyi—6311101
WAug 23 · 16:00S. Honcharenko—11118153Y. Zvolynskyi—9211131
LAug 10 · 15:00S. Honcharenko—1128101Y. Zvolynskyi—81111123
LAug 5 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—117111192Y. Zvolynskyi—131179113
LJul 30 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—15960Y. Zvolynskyi—1711113
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741WSep 2 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.751111113M. Pohorilyi1.409880
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.