TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13070889
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41112101171113116
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6
96 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 31–51 Yurii Zvolynskyi Serhii Honcharenko has won 31 of their 82 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zvolynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.00 / Zvolynskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13070889
Honcharenko2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 69 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Zvolynskyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 86 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko3wins
AwayZvolynskyi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko75%3 of 4
AwayZvolynskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko4Zvolynskyi6n = 10Zvolynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Honcharenko5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Honcharenko2Zvolynskyi8n = 10Zvolynskyi took 8 of 10
S4Honcharenko5Zvolynskyi2n = 7Honcharenko took 5 of 7
S5Honcharenko0Zvolynskyi3n = 3Zvolynskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZvolynskyiH − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.839.9−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 816 vs 307 / 57851.4%53.1%419 / 816 vs 307 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiHoncharenko 2.00/Zvolynskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—49120Y. Zvolynskyi—1111143
LAug 27 · 16:30S. Honcharenko—61151162Y. Zvolynskyi—119115113
WAug 25 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—11117123Y. Zvolynskyi—6311101
WAug 23 · 16:00S. Honcharenko—11118153Y. Zvolynskyi—9211131
LAug 10 · 15:00S. Honcharenko—1128101Y. Zvolynskyi—81111123
LAug 5 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—117111192Y. Zvolynskyi—131179113
LJul 30 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—15960Y. Zvolynskyi—1711113
WJul 12 · 08:00S. Honcharenko—15117113Y. Zvolynskyi—1371171
LJul 5 · 17:03S. Honcharenko—71111232Y. Zvolynskyi—116911113
LJul 5 · 16:00S. Honcharenko—9650Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741WSep 2 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.751111113M. Pohorilyi1.409880
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