TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066912
Played Sep 3Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 76.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 38–24 Vasyl Matviichuk Vasyl Matviichuk has won 24 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-24 in 62
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 14 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1315 vs Matviichuk 1118
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 40% vs Matviichuk 60%
Matviichuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Matviichuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +2 · Matviichuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.25 / Matviichuk 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066912
Zvolynskyi1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 91 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it88% 74 of 84
Matviichuk3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 33 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi10wins
AwayMatviichuk0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi100%9 of 9
AwayMatviichukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi9Matviichuk1n = 10Zvolynskyi took 9 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi10Matviichuk0n = 10Zvolynskyi took 10 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi8Matviichuk2n = 10Zvolynskyi took 8 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi2Matviichuk1n = 3Zvolynskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiMatviichukZ − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.926.1+10.8per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 584 vs 291 / 61553.1%47.3%310 / 584 vs 291 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.25/Matviichuk 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Matviichuk—9990
WAug 27 · 16:59Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Matviichuk—7850
WAug 27 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Matviichuk—5880
WAug 25 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—31111113V. Matviichuk—114951
WJul 29 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Matviichuk—7440
WJun 24 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1411123V. Matviichuk—128100
WJun 23 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—12148113V. Matviichuk—10121171
WMay 19 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Matviichuk—6780
WMay 12 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Matviichuk—7420
WMay 6 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111119113V. Matviichuk—96131162
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741WSep 2 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.751111113M. Pohorilyi1.409880
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
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