TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072928
Played Sep 4Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119117––––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 90.0% is still 90.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
90.0%
90.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 90.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 6–3 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1325 vs Khyzhnyak 1061
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Khyzhnyak 40%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 70% vs Khyzhnyak 20%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -1 · Khyzhnyak -3
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 90% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.08 / Khyzhnyak 7.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072928
Zvolynskyi1.08
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 90 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it88% 73 of 83
Khyzhnyak7.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 21 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi6wins
AwayKhyzhnyak3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayKhyzhnyakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi7Khyzhnyak2n = 9Zvolynskyi took 7 of 9
S2Zvolynskyi8Khyzhnyak1n = 9Zvolynskyi took 8 of 9
S3Zvolynskyi6Khyzhnyak3n = 9Zvolynskyi took 6 of 9
S4Zvolynskyi1Khyzhnyak3n = 4Khyzhnyak took 3 of 4
S5Zvolynskyi1Khyzhnyak2n = 3Khyzhnyak took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiKhyzhnyakZ − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match35.932.3+3.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 582 vs 48 / 14753.1%32.7%309 / 582 vs 48 / 147Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.534.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.08/Khyzhnyak 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.2%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WApr 13 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1112113V. Khyzhnyak—81040
WMar 8 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—9890
WFeb 18 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—5940
LJan 13 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1211911V. Khyzhnyak—14711113
WJun 22 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—4990
WApr 6 · 12:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—7350
WMar 19 · 17:30Y. Zvolynskyi—811124113V. Khyzhnyak—117101172
LFeb 28 · 18:10Y. Zvolynskyi—11371182V. Khyzhnyak—811117113
LFeb 28 · 13:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11116462V. Khyzhnyak—991111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741WSep 2 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.751111113M. Pohorilyi1.409880
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102LAug 17 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.11211811113V. Khyzhnyak6.0011611592
Upcoming Matches
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V. Khyzhnyak
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