TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12445014
Played Aug 17Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141188118111210
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Khyzhnyak to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Khyzhnyak at 59.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 11–16 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Yurii Urezchenko has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:26What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-16 in 27
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urezchenko 1080 vs Khyzhnyak 1082
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urezchenko 60% vs Khyzhnyak 20%
Urezchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urezchenko 50% vs Khyzhnyak 30%
Urezchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urezchenko +2 · Khyzhnyak -3
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khyzhnyak) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 2.10 / Khyzhnyak 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khyzhnyak)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12445014
Urezchenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 36 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Khyzhnyak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 10 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrezchenko3wins
AwayKhyzhnyak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenko50%2 of 4
AwayKhyzhnyak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S2Urezchenko2Khyzhnyak8n = 10Khyzhnyak took 8 of 10
S3Urezchenko3Khyzhnyak7n = 10Khyzhnyak took 7 of 10
S4Urezchenko3Khyzhnyak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoKhyzhnyakU − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.937.9−6.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 471 vs 48 / 15644.6%30.8%210 / 471 vs 48 / 156Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.734.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhyzhnyakUrezchenko 2.10/Khyzhnyak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khyzhnyak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko—111188123V. Khyzhnyak—481111102
LJul 21 · 10:43Y. Urezchenko—7380V. Khyzhnyak—1111113
LJul 21 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—721231V. Khyzhnyak—111110113
LJun 9 · 10:09Y. Urezchenko—8950V. Khyzhnyak—1111113
LJun 9 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko—81060V. Khyzhnyak—1112113
LMay 25 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—61080V. Khyzhnyak—1112113
WMay 22 · 09:59Y. Urezchenko—11911113V. Khyzhnyak—911581
LMay 22 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko—117851V. Khyzhnyak—81111113
LMay 4 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—11761192V. Khyzhnyak—811119113
WApr 28 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko—71111113V. Khyzhnyak—117881
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191LSep 1 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko4.3367100Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111123
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.11211811113V. Khyzhnyak6.0011611592
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