TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12444527
Played Aug 17Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.11
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
211116811115119
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:05 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 85 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 66.5%
85 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 22–3 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 3 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-3 in 25
Lysyi
Correct
gap of 19 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1125 vs Khyzhnyak 1073
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 20% vs Khyzhnyak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 30% vs Khyzhnyak 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi -2 · Khyzhnyak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 93% — Strong (leans Lysyi) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.11 / Khyzhnyak 6.00
Signal prob.93% / 7%
Edge (Lysyi)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12444527
Lysyi1.11
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 53 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 41 of 51
Khyzhnyak6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi10wins
AwayKhyzhnyak0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi100%7 of 7
AwayKhyzhnyak0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi7Khyzhnyak3n = 10Lysyi took 7 of 10
S2Lysyi8Khyzhnyak2n = 10Lysyi took 8 of 10
S3Lysyi9Khyzhnyak1n = 10Lysyi took 9 of 10
S4Lysyi4Khyzhnyak0n = 4Lysyi took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiKhyzhnyakL − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.225.1+12.1per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 392 vs 46 / 15242.4%30.3%166 / 392 vs 46 / 152Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.333.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.11/Khyzhnyak 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
93.2%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 05:30A. Lysyi—211811113V. Khyzhnyak—11611592
WAug 2 · 13:28A. Lysyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—4630
WJul 27 · 10:38A. Lysyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—5660
WJul 27 · 08:30A. Lysyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—8290
WJun 27 · 06:30A. Lysyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—9350
WJun 15 · 09:58A. Lysyi—41111113V. Khyzhnyak—118451
WJun 15 · 07:30A. Lysyi—11911113V. Khyzhnyak—911541
WMay 4 · 09:00A. Lysyi—681111133V. Khyzhnyak—111141112
WApr 10 · 06:30A. Lysyi—1411113V. Khyzhnyak—12580
WMar 23 · 08:00A. Lysyi—1111113V. Khyzhnyak—9680
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102
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