TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089165
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119111118––
Oleksandr Badanin
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Oleksandr Badanin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 73.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 5–10 Oleksandr Badanin Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:23What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Badanin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Badanin
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1055 vs Badanin 1168
Badanin
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 0% vs Badanin 40%
Badanin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 20% vs Badanin 50%
Badanin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak -5 · Badanin -1
Khyzhnyak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Badanin) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 3.75 / Badanin 1.25
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Badanin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089165
Khyzhnyak3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 21 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Badanin1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak3wins
AwayBadanin7wins
Badanin leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak50%2 of 4
AwayBadanin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak4Badanin6n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10
S2Khyzhnyak6Badanin4n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S3Khyzhnyak2Badanin8n = 10Badanin took 8 of 10
S4Khyzhnyak2Badanin5n = 7Badanin took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakBadaninK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.437.7−7.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakBadaninBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 150 vs 162 / 33732.7%48.1%49 / 150 vs 162 / 337Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninKhyzhnyak 3.75/Badanin 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.2%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—11111113O. Badanin—991181
LSep 4 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak—411531O. Badanin—11711113
WJun 15 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak—1111123O. Badanin—78100
LApr 28 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—8137101O. Badanin—111111123
LApr 16 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak—127281O. Badanin—101111113
LApr 10 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak—211791O. Badanin—11811113
WMar 20 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak—51111133O. Badanin—1177111
LMar 17 · 11:03V. Khyzhnyak—1186111O. Badanin—91111133
LMar 17 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—7860O. Badanin—1111113
LFeb 3 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—4790O. Badanin—1111113
V. Khyzhnyak10
LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102LAug 17 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.11211811113V. Khyzhnyak6.0011611592
O. Badanin10
LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182LSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531WSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450WSep 1 · 09:00O. Badanin1.33121112113S. Zherykhin3.251091441LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.2011114113O. Badanin1.61781191LSep 1 · 07:00S. Honcharenko2.751111113O. Badanin1.407880
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.