TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072922
Played Sep 4Finished
Valentyn Kurliuk
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111151171311––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeValentyn Kurliuk to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValentyn Kurliuk above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 76 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Valentyn Kurliuk at 71.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Valentyn Kurliuk 1–0 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kurliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurliuk 1237 vs Khyzhnyak 1082
Kurliuk
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurliuk 20% vs Khyzhnyak 40%
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurliuk 10% vs Khyzhnyak 30%
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurliuk -2 · Khyzhnyak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kurliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurliuk 1.30 / Khyzhnyak 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kurliuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13072922
Kurliuk1.30
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 49 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Khyzhnyak3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 21 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKurliuk1wins
AwayKhyzhnyak0wins
Kurliuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKurliukKhyzhnyakKurliuk − KhyzhnyakBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.040.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurliukKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 278 vs 48 / 14850%32.4%139 / 278 vs 48 / 148Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.634.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurliukKurliuk 1.30/Khyzhnyak 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Kurliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WApr 16 · 07:30V. Kurliuk—12911143V. Khyzhnyak—10117121
V. Kurliuk10
LSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133LSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030WSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 06:30V. Kurliuk1.731111113S. Honcharenko2.009680LAug 12 · 10:08I. Sorochan1.2861111113V. Kurliuk3.50117891
V. Khyzhnyak10
LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102
Upcoming Matches
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