TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12410612
Played Aug 12Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117118119––
Valentyn Kurliuk
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Valentyn Kurliuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 9–0 Valentyn Kurliuk Valentyn Kurliuk has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.28 / Kurliuk 3.50
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Sorochan)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12410612
Sorochan1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 73 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Kurliuk3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog14% won 5 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSorochan9wins
AwayKurliuk0wins
1 of 9 to a deciderSorochan leads 9–0, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan100%9 of 9
AwayKurliukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan9Kurliuk0n = 9Sorochan took 9 of 9
S2Sorochan6Kurliuk3n = 9Sorochan took 6 of 9
S3Sorochan7Kurliuk2n = 9Sorochan took 7 of 9
S4Sorochan4Kurliuk1n = 5Sorochan took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSorochanKurliukS − KBasisWins90+9in 9 meetingsFirst set90+9of 9Avg pointsper match39.029.1+9.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanKurliukBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 472 vs 142 / 29459.5%48.3%281 / 472 vs 142 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.28/Kurliuk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.1%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 12 · 06:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Kurliuk—4760
WJul 19 · 06:30I. Sorochan—1211123V. Kurliuk—109100
WJun 2 · 13:30I. Sorochan—117118123V. Kurliuk—611511102
WApr 20 · 06:30I. Sorochan—1311153V. Kurliuk—115130
WApr 2 · 06:30I. Sorochan—111110113V. Kurliuk—371271
WOct 19 · 14:00I. Sorochan—13811113V. Kurliuk—1111671
WOct 12 · 12:30I. Sorochan—1111113V. Kurliuk—5760
WSep 21 · 15:30I. Sorochan—11113103V. Kurliuk—451161
WJul 21 · 05:30I. Sorochan—11811113V. Kurliuk—811891
I. Sorochan10
LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672LSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113WSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113
V. Kurliuk10
LSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133LSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030WSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 06:30V. Kurliuk1.731111113S. Honcharenko2.009680WSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111
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