TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088494
Played Sep 6Finished
Valentyn Kurliuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1154116111113––
Roman Sveshnykov
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingValentyn Kurliuk above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 72 set 4, 11-13
72 points played in total.
H2H Valentyn Kurliuk 6–1 Roman Sveshnykov Roman Sveshnykov has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kurliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurliuk 1.25 / Sveshnykov 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Kurliuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088494
Kurliuk1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 54 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Sveshnykov3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKurliuk6wins
AwaySveshnykov1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKurliuk leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurliuk100%6 of 6
AwaySveshnykovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurliuk6Sveshnykov1n = 7Kurliuk took 6 of 7
S2Kurliuk5Sveshnykov2n = 7Kurliuk took 5 of 7
S3Kurliuk5Sveshnykov2n = 7Kurliuk took 5 of 7
S4Kurliuk4Sveshnykov0n = 4Kurliuk took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKurliukSveshnykovK − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match38.326.1+12.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurliukSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 287 vs 110 / 27650.5%39.9%145 / 287 vs 110 / 276Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurliukKurliuk 1.25/Sveshnykov 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Kurliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 16:00V. Kurliuk—59111192R. Sveshnykov—111138113
WJul 19 · 10:35V. Kurliuk—1111113R. Sveshnykov—5880
WJul 19 · 09:30V. Kurliuk—13115113R. Sveshnykov—1141171
WJun 13 · 17:34V. Kurliuk—11911113R. Sveshnykov—711271
WJun 13 · 13:30V. Kurliuk—11119113R. Sveshnykov—691191
WDec 18 · 08:00V. Kurliuk—1111113R. Sveshnykov—5240
WDec 4 · 09:00V. Kurliuk—1111113R. Sveshnykov—2640
V. Kurliuk10
LSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030WSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 06:30V. Kurliuk1.731111113S. Honcharenko2.009680WSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111LAug 12 · 10:08I. Sorochan1.2861111113V. Kurliuk3.50117891
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420WSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113
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