TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084113
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171169111210––
Roman Sveshnykov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 57.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 14–17 Roman Sveshnykov Serhii Honcharenko has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sveshnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-17 in 31
Sveshnykov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1406 vs Sveshnykov 1278
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 80% vs Sveshnykov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 70% vs Sveshnykov 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +3 · Sveshnykov +1
Honcharenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.25 / Sveshnykov 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sveshnykov)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084113
Honcharenko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 71 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Sveshnykov1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite81% won 34 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko3wins
AwaySveshnykov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko40%2 of 5
AwaySveshnykov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko5Sveshnykov5n = 10split evenly
S2Honcharenko5Sveshnykov5n = 10split evenly
S3Honcharenko4Sveshnykov6n = 10Sveshnykov took 6 of 10
S4Honcharenko3Sveshnykov5n = 8Sveshnykov took 5 of 8
S5Honcharenko1Sveshnykov3n = 4Sveshnykov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoSveshnykovH − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.1−3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 832 vs 111 / 27751.7%40.1%430 / 832 vs 111 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovHoncharenko 2.25/Sveshnykov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko—11119123R. Sveshnykov—7611101
LSep 5 · 16:30S. Honcharenko—911671R. Sveshnykov—1171193
WAug 30 · 10:34S. Honcharenko—1011129113R. Sveshnykov—129101162
LAug 30 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1211591R. Sveshnykov—14111113
WAug 23 · 14:30S. Honcharenko—1111133R. Sveshnykov—79110
LAug 2 · 09:28S. Honcharenko—11591192R. Sveshnykov—711116113
LJul 26 · 10:28S. Honcharenko—10101161R. Sveshnykov—12129113
LJul 26 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—11513442R. Sveshnykov—9111111113
LJul 12 · 05:00S. Honcharenko—11561152R. Sveshnykov—911119113
LJun 13 · 15:00S. Honcharenko—9480R. Sveshnykov—1111113
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871WSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691LSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420WSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.