TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078863
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911911––––
Ihor Sorochan
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Ihor Sorochan below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 77.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 0–8 Ihor Sorochan Roman Sveshnykov has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Sorochan
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1261 vs Sorochan 1356
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Sorochan 40%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 40% vs Sorochan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov +3 · Sorochan +1
Sveshnykov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 3.75 / Sorochan 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Sorochan)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13078863
Sveshnykov3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Sorochan1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 66 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSveshnykov0wins
AwaySorochan8wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSorochan leads 8–0, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykovn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySorochan100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov0Sorochan8n = 8Sorochan took 8 of 8
S2Sveshnykov0Sorochan8n = 8Sorochan took 8 of 8
S3Sveshnykov4Sorochan4n = 8split evenly
S4Sveshnykov1Sorochan3n = 4Sorochan took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricSveshnykovSorochanSveshnykov − SorochanBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set08−8of 8Avg pointsper match29.138.5−9.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovSorochanBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 268 vs 244 / 43439.2%56.2%105 / 268 vs 244 / 434Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSveshnykov 3.75/Sorochan 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 9 · 17:38R. Sveshnykov—511141192I. Sorochan—1113126113
LAug 9 · 15:00R. Sveshnykov—8811111I. Sorochan—11114133
LAug 2 · 10:39R. Sveshnykov—7360I. Sorochan—1111113
LAug 2 · 08:28R. Sveshnykov—7940I. Sorochan—1111113
LJul 19 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov—6880I. Sorochan—1111113
LJul 12 · 07:30R. Sveshnykov—581161I. Sorochan—11117113
LJun 21 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov—115100I. Sorochan—1311123
LMar 9 · 06:30R. Sveshnykov—781151I. Sorochan—11118113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420WSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113
I. Sorochan10
LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672LSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113WSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113LAug 30 · 16:30I. Sorochan1.83715111092I. Dubinin1.831113512113
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