TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084039
Played Sep 6Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168111113116117
Roman Sveshnykov
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 77.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 9–0 Roman Sveshnykov Roman Sveshnykov has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-0 in 9
Sorochan
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1355 vs Sveshnykov 1279
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 60% vs Sveshnykov 80%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 40% vs Sveshnykov 60%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan -1 · Sveshnykov +3
Sveshnykov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sorochan) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.25 / Sveshnykov 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Sorochan)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084039
Sorochan1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 67 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it77% 54 of 70
Sveshnykov3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSorochan9wins
AwaySveshnykov0wins
1 of 9 to a deciderSorochan leads 9–0, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan100%9 of 9
AwaySveshnykovn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan9Sveshnykov0n = 9Sorochan took 9 of 9
S2Sorochan9Sveshnykov0n = 9Sorochan took 9 of 9
S3Sorochan5Sveshnykov4n = 9Sorochan took 5 of 9
S4Sorochan3Sveshnykov1n = 4Sorochan took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSorochanSveshnykovSorochan − SveshnykovBasisWins90+9in 9 meetingsFirst set90+9of 9Avg pointsper match37.928.6+9.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 438 vs 108 / 27256.2%39.7%246 / 438 vs 108 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.634.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.25/Sveshnykov 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 5 · 14:00I. Sorochan—1111113R. Sveshnykov—6990
WAug 9 · 17:38I. Sorochan—1113126113R. Sveshnykov—511141192
WAug 9 · 15:00I. Sorochan—11114133R. Sveshnykov—8811111
WAug 2 · 10:39I. Sorochan—1111113R. Sveshnykov—7360
WAug 2 · 08:28I. Sorochan—1111113R. Sveshnykov—7940
WJul 19 · 08:30I. Sorochan—1111113R. Sveshnykov—6880
WJul 12 · 07:30I. Sorochan—11117113R. Sveshnykov—581161
WJun 21 · 08:30I. Sorochan—1311123R. Sveshnykov—115100
WMar 9 · 06:30I. Sorochan—11118113R. Sveshnykov—781151
I. Sorochan10
LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860LSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113WSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 15:00S. Honcharenko1.911111118113I. Sorochan1.8058131192WSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113LAug 30 · 16:30I. Sorochan1.83715111092I. Dubinin1.831113512113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420WSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113
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