TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089011
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5113111210611––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 84.9% is still 84.9%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
84.9%
84.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 84.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 3–22 Anatoliy Lysyi Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 3 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-22 in 25
Lysyi
Correct
gap of 19 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1055 vs Lysyi 1083
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 20% vs Lysyi 40%
Lysyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 30% vs Lysyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak +1 · Lysyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 5.00 / Lysyi 1.14
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Lysyi)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13089011
Khyzhnyak5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 21 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Lysyi1.14
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 60 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak0wins
AwayLysyi10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak0%0 of 3
AwayLysyi100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak3Lysyi7n = 10Lysyi took 7 of 10
S2Khyzhnyak2Lysyi8n = 10Lysyi took 8 of 10
S3Khyzhnyak1Lysyi9n = 10Lysyi took 9 of 10
S4Khyzhnyak0Lysyi4n = 4Lysyi took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakLysyiK − LBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match25.137.2−12.1per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 150 vs 181 / 42732.7%42.4%49 / 150 vs 181 / 427Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiKhyzhnyak 5.00/Lysyi 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.9%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 05:30V. Khyzhnyak—11611592A. Lysyi—211811113
LAug 2 · 13:28V. Khyzhnyak—4630A. Lysyi—1111113
LJul 27 · 10:38V. Khyzhnyak—5660A. Lysyi—1111113
LJul 27 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak—8290A. Lysyi—1111113
LJun 27 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak—9350A. Lysyi—1111113
LJun 15 · 09:58V. Khyzhnyak—118451A. Lysyi—41111113
LJun 15 · 07:30V. Khyzhnyak—911541A. Lysyi—11911113
LMay 4 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak—111141112A. Lysyi—681111133
LApr 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak—12580A. Lysyi—1411113
LMar 23 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak—9680A. Lysyi—1111113
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322LAug 17 · 07:00Y. Urezchenko2.10111188123V. Khyzhnyak1.67481111102
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171
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