TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084176
Played Sep 6Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119115511211611
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 82 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 74.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 29–10 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 10 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Lysyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-10 in 39
Lysyi
Wrong
gap of 19 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1103 vs Hyriavyi 1000
Lysyi
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 20% vs Hyriavyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 20% vs Hyriavyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi -2 · Hyriavyi -4
Hyriavyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.30 / Hyriavyi 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Lysyi)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084176
Lysyi1.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 59 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Hyriavyi3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 28 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi7wins
AwayHyriavyi3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayHyriavyi25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi6Hyriavyi4n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S2Lysyi6Hyriavyi4n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S3Lysyi7Hyriavyi3n = 10Lysyi took 7 of 10
S4Lysyi6Hyriavyi3n = 9Lysyi took 6 of 9
S5Lysyi2Hyriavyi3n = 5Hyriavyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiHyriavyiL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.937.9+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 421 vs 109 / 34442.3%31.7%178 / 421 vs 109 / 344Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.333.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.30/Hyriavyi 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hyriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi—11115262V. Hyriavyi—951111113
LAug 31 · 05:30A. Lysyi—11116952V. Hyriavyi—641111113
LAug 3 · 05:30A. Lysyi—97151192V. Hyriavyi—1111138113
WJul 6 · 05:28A. Lysyi—111011113V. Hyriavyi—912821
WJun 15 · 05:30A. Lysyi—11911113V. Hyriavyi—611461
WJun 8 · 08:30A. Lysyi—14911113V. Hyriavyi—1211381
WApr 17 · 14:30A. Lysyi—1111113V. Hyriavyi—9680
WMar 27 · 09:30A. Lysyi—811811113V. Hyriavyi—11511662
WMar 20 · 06:30A. Lysyi—51111113V. Hyriavyi—118781
WFeb 27 · 13:30A. Lysyi—6111112113V. Hyriavyi—11761492
A. Lysyi10
LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581WSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.4411411103A. Lysyi2.63511871LSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi4.007860I. Sorochan1.221111113
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871LSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660LSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.505750WSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2561111113V. Matviichuk1.33119841LAug 31 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi2.63116141Y. Urezchenko1.4481111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Lysyi
V. Hyriavyi
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