TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084106
Played Sep 6Finished
Viktor Hyriavyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117911311––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Hyriavyi above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 72 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 66.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Hyriavyi 33–50 Vasyl Matviichuk Viktor Hyriavyi has won 33 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Matviichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-50 in 83
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 17 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyriavyi 1016 vs Matviichuk 1064
Matviichuk
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyriavyi 40% vs Matviichuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyriavyi 30% vs Matviichuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyriavyi -1 · Matviichuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Matviichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyriavyi 3.00 / Matviichuk 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Matviichuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084106
Hyriavyi3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 28 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Matviichuk1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 75 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyriavyi3wins
AwayMatviichuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyriavyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayMatviichuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyriavyi3Matviichuk7n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S2Hyriavyi4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S3Hyriavyi6Matviichuk4n = 10Hyriavyi took 6 of 10
S4Hyriavyi1Matviichuk6n = 7Matviichuk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyriavyiMatviichukH − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.939.6−7.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyriavyiMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 346 vs 292 / 61831.8%47.3%110 / 346 vs 292 / 618Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukHyriavyi 3.00/Matviichuk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 10:04V. Hyriavyi—138871V. Matviichuk—111111113
WSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi—61111113V. Matviichuk—119841
LAug 31 · 07:00V. Hyriavyi—441231V. Matviichuk—111110113
WAug 19 · 10:29V. Hyriavyi—111159113V. Matviichuk—89111172
WAug 19 · 05:00V. Hyriavyi—1111153V. Matviichuk—75130
LAug 7 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi—10411111V. Matviichuk—12119133
LAug 3 · 10:28V. Hyriavyi—61111912V. Matviichuk—119911113
LAug 3 · 08:00V. Hyriavyi—3920V. Matviichuk—1111113
LJul 21 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi—10350V. Matviichuk—1211113
LJun 23 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi—391271V. Matviichuk—111110113
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871LSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660LSep 3 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi1.80961191S. Zherykhin1.9111118113LSep 3 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.505750WSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2561111113V. Matviichuk1.33119841LAug 31 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi2.63116141Y. Urezchenko1.4481111113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191LSep 5 · 14:30A. Lysyi2.0019119113V. Matviichuk1.731791171LSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420LSep 5 · 12:00S. Honcharenko1.538111192V. Matviichuk2.38118691WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871LSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2561111113V. Matviichuk1.33119841
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